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Unsettled Democracy: Signs That America’s Peaceful Transfer of Power Could Be at Risk

Engravings of portraits of six presidents with U.S. dollar bills

As the United States nears another presidential election, the echoes of the tumultuous events of January 6, 2021, continue to resonate, though they seem to fade from the collective memory of the electorate. This amnesia comes at a critical time when the peaceful transfer of power—a cornerstone of American democracy—shows signs of vulnerability.

Forgetting the Past, Fearing the Future

A stark reminder comes from a college history professor’s favorite quote by Winston Churchill: “Those that fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.” This adage is especially pertinent now as the U.S. gears up for another presidential election. Despite the alarming events of January 6, 2021, a recent Wall Street Journal interview revealed that first-time college voters are largely unaware of or indifferent to the implications of that day on democratic stability.

Conversely, a January 2024 Washington Post poll shows a more hopeful statistic: 55% of Americans recognize January 6 as a significant attack on democracy. Yet, the worry is that the remaining 45% seem to have forgotten or dismissed the severity of that day’s events. These statistics set the stage for a deeply polarized electorate, where misconceptions and misinformation could influence the outcomes and reactions to the upcoming election.

Election Integrity in Question

One of the most concerning signs is the persistent narrative among some groups that any electoral loss would imply fraud. This narrative has been fueled by relentless messaging from certain campaign circles, suggesting that the upcoming election could be rigged. This not only undermines public trust in electoral processes but also prepares the ground for potential disputes and unrest post-election.

Briefing of president of US United States in White House. Podium speaker tribune with USA flags and sign of White Houise. Politics concept. 3d illustration

Campaign Rhetoric and Its Implications

During the Republican National Convention, a statement by Trump campaign co-manager Chris LaCivita suggested that the election would not be over until the inauguration, hinting at a refusal to concede until the very last moment. Such rhetoric is not only unprecedented in modern American politics but also deeply troubling. It suggests a readiness to contest the election results until the final possible instance, regardless of the electoral outcome.

Disturbing Statements from Political Figures

Further compounding concerns, former President Trump’s remarks during an interview and various public appearances have hinted at an authoritarian approach to power. Statements suggesting that once re-elected, the necessity for voting might become moot, strike at the heart of democratic principles. These comments, though often dismissed as bravado, reveal a disturbing disregard for the democratic process.

Normalization of January 6

Both political parties seem reluctant to focus their campaign ads on the events of January 6, perhaps fearing backlash or believing that voters have moved past the issue. This normalization of what was a violent attempt to overturn a democratic election could be one of the most dangerous signs yet. It suggests a potential shift in public perception, where such acts become less shocking and more accepted.

Looking Ahead: The Role of Vice President Harris

As the vice president, Kamala Harris will play a pivotal role on January 6, 2025. She will certify the Electoral College results and potentially announce the next president. This event will be particularly significant if the election results are contested. The recent Supreme Court ruling, which provides broad immunity to presidential actions, could also play a critical role in how post-election disputes are handled.

A Call to Awareness

As the election approaches, it is crucial for voters and leaders alike to remember the lessons of the past. The peaceful transfer of power has been a hallmark of American democracy, ensuring stability even in turbulent times. Ignoring the signs of its fragility could jeopardize the very foundation of the nation. Voters must remain vigilant, informed, and committed to preserving the integrity of the democratic process. Remembering Churchill’s warning is more than an academic exercise—it is a civic duty to ensure that history does not repeat its darkest chapters.